Latest ideas and analyses related to recession fears

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Global Macro

+16 pts



“Overweight fixed income” has been a terrible trade this year, probably the worst apart from meme stocks. So while this report might be right, not...

By realmomobags on Sept. 29, 2022, 4:54 a.m.
Tagged topics: deep dive , recession fears

Views: 1, Votes: 3, Responses: 0, Attachments: 0
Global Macro

+16 pts



If US indeed slides into a recession next year, it would be very different compared with the 08 GFC. Given that the balance sheet of...

By marschenntdeb729bd97b0413b on Sept. 28, 2022, 5:32 p.m.
Tagged topics: deep dive , recession fears

Views: 1, Votes: 3, Responses: 0, Attachments: 0
Global Macro

+15 pts



Advanced economies are set to contract next year, driven by a deep European recession. Fed will keep tightening for the rest of 2022, given high...

By wallstreetfront on Sept. 28, 2022, 1:25 p.m.
Tagged topics: deep dive , recession fears

Views: 1, Votes: 2, Responses: 0, Attachments: 0
Global Macro

+57 pts



Gloom, but not doom

By mooreideas on Sept. 28, 2022, 11:24 a.m.
Tagged topics: deep dive , recession fears

Views: 43, Votes: 13, Responses: 3, Attachments: 1
Credit Strategy

+15 pts



The US HY index composition is very different now compared with prior cycles. Given that many HY issuers are oil & gas companies which have...

By marschenntdeb729bd97b0413b on Aug. 31, 2022, 8:41 p.m.
Tagged topics: recession fears

Views: 1, Votes: 1, Responses: 0, Attachments: 0
REITs , Retail

+11 pts



Searching For Bargains In A Market of Haves and Have Nots

By mooreideas on Aug. 30, 2022, 2:27 p.m.
Tagged topics: recession fears

Views: 8, Votes: 2, Responses: 0, Attachments: 1
Commodities

+15 pts



This is a great report. But a tough call to make. Some commodities will go through a super cycle due to secular demand shifts (like...

By realmomobags on Aug. 30, 2022, 7:34 a.m.
Tagged topics: buying opportunity , recession fears

Views: 1, Votes: 1, Responses: 0, Attachments: 0
Commodities

+42 pts



Buy commodities now, worry about the recession later

By ethonomics on Aug. 30, 2022, 3:57 a.m.
Tagged topics: buying opportunity , recession fears

Views: 36, Votes: 8, Responses: 1, Attachments: 1
Credit Strategy

+23 pts



A New Recession Canary in the Credit Coal Mine

By mooreideas on Aug. 29, 2022, 2:48 p.m.
Tagged topics: recession fears

Views: 15, Votes: 4, Responses: 1, Attachments: 1
Oil and Gas

+33 pts



Down but not out

By ethonomics on Aug. 8, 2022, 5:08 p.m.
Tagged topics: supply constrained , recession fears

Views: 13, Votes: 2, Responses: 0, Attachments: 1
US Consumers

+37 pts



Consumer Trade Down: Early Signs & Where We Could See It Next

By mooreideas on July 22, 2022, 10:57 a.m.
Tagged topics: deep dive , consumer trends , recession fears

Views: 27, Votes: 6, Responses: 0, Attachments: 1
FOXA , PARA , ROKU , WBD , AMCX , LGF.B

+39 pts



Second Half Outlook – The First Streaming Recession?

By mooreideas on July 18, 2022, 11:16 a.m.
Tagged topics: analyst downgrade , recession fears

Views: 42, Votes: 5, Responses: 0, Attachments: 1
DK , DINO , MPC , PBF , PSX , VLO

+32 pts



Upcycle Narrative Meets Recession Fears

By mooreideas on July 15, 2022, 11:14 a.m.
Tagged topics: earnings preview , recession fears

Views: 23, Votes: 3, Responses: 0, Attachments: 1
Commodities

+10 pts



The recent data flow reveals a vulnerable global expansion at midyear. A strong global PMI report for June masks underlying momentum loss excluding a robust...

By marschenntdeb729bd97b0413b on July 11, 2022, 6:12 a.m.
Tagged topics: recession fears

Views: 1, Votes: 1, Responses: 0, Attachments: 0
Commodities

+5 pts



Market is too optimistic to think about a potential rate cut. In my opinion, oil sell off is unjestify....

By wallstreetfront on July 11, 2022, 1:16 a.m.
Tagged topics: recession fears

Views: 1, Votes: 1, Responses: 0, Attachments: 0
Commodities

+54 pts



Commodities oversold on recession fears, remain the best macro hedge

By ethonomics on July 8, 2022, 11:20 a.m.
Tagged topics: recession fears

Views: 385, Votes: 10, Responses: 2, Attachments: 1
Commodities

+10 pts



The recent decline in commodity price (especially oil price) is mainly driven by investors' fear of slowing economic growth going forward, which has nothing to...

By marschenntdeb729bd97b0413b on July 6, 2022, 7:14 p.m.
Tagged topics: recession fears

Views: 2, Votes: 1, Responses: 0, Attachments: 0
US Macro

+10 pts



Based on the earning insight report (3 June 2022, FaceSet): The blended (YoY) earnings growth rate for Q1 2022 of 9.2% (versus estimate of 4.6%)...

By marschenntdeb729bd97b0413b on July 6, 2022, 7:06 p.m.
Tagged topics: recession fears

Views: 1, Votes: 1, Responses: 0, Attachments: 0
US Macro

+38 pts



S&P 500 returns -20% as Fed remains hawkish and recession fears mount

By ethonomics on July 6, 2022, 6:37 p.m.
Tagged topics: recession fears

Views: 30, Votes: 3, Responses: 1, Attachments: 1
Oil and Gas

+39 pts



Oil succumbs to recession fears

By ethonomics on July 6, 2022, 6:33 p.m.
Tagged topics: recession fears

Views: 36, Votes: 3, Responses: 0, Attachments: 1